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11/11 Spot Plays
#187332 11/11/09 05:53 PM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 280,111
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Time to play the Game
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Joined: Dec 2000
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Time to play the Game
Aqueduct (4th) Idol Image, 9-2
(6th) Pleasant Sister, 4-1

Beulah Park (2nd) Banning, 5-1
(7th) Rashaund, 6-1

Calder (2nd) Cartouche, 3-1
(4th) Mad Mambo, 3-1

Charles Town (3rd) Her Shadow, 7-2
(6th) Miss Devil Her Due, 5-1

Churchill Downs (2nd) Sheer Beauty, 4-1
(10th) Dr. Rhythm, 6-1

Delta Downs (4th) Opening Wild, 4-1
(8th) Toga Too, 8-1

Hawthorne (3rd) Sassy Buck, 6-1
(4th) Repent N Receive, 6-1

Laurel (4th) Sound the Charge, 9-2
(7th) Popeye's Lady, 3-1

Penn National (2nd) Southern Cavalier, 5-1
(4th) Undaunted One, 9-2

Woodbine (5th) J J for Dave, 4-1
(8th) Working Man Blues, 6-1



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Re: 11/11 Spot Plays
FREAK #187339 11/11/09 06:15 PM
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 1,218
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Courtesy of Mike Dempsey

Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:



AQU Race 1 Clm $16,000 (12:30 ET)

#6 Only a Vision 2/1

#4 Glitter's Forum 3/1

#5 French Song 4/1

#7 Crazy Thing 6/1



Analysis: #6 Only a Vision steps up another notch in class here seeking her fourth win in a row. The mare beat $12.5K foes last out, beating a pair that come back to face her here. The fifth place finisher in the race was Baroness, who returned to beat $7.5K claimers in her next outing on Nov. 8. The mare owns a solid pace profile throughout and looks like she should get a good pace set up here as she should be able to sit just off the front and pounce turning for home much like she has done in her recent wins. She also is proven over a wet track and there is a 50% chance of seeing some rain today.

#4 Glitter's Forum set the early fractions and weakened to finish fifth last out against $20 claimers for non winners of two races in six months. She ships in for a pot barn and she will be part of the early mix here. She seldom runs a bad one, winning 7 of her 21 career starts and landing in the money in 14 outings.



Wagering

WIN: #6 to win at 9/5 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 4,5,6,7
TRI: 4,6 / 4,5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7



Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:



AQU Race 7 Alw $46,000N1X (3:16 ET)

#4 Paracaidas 5/1
#8 Gran Appeal 3/1
#9 Dawn Chorus 6/1
#3 Crazy Catlady 7/2



Analysis: #4 Paracaidas was a good second in her debut, which was her lone go on turf and returns to the green (unless Mother Nature interferes) in her second start against winners. Last out she tracked the early pace while down along the inside and faded to finish a non threatening fifth on the main track at the Spa. The winner of the race was Acronym, who beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next start. The third place finisher Mother Ruth beat Alw-1 foes in her next start, then ran a good second in the Poker Night Stakes on Nov. 1 here. I like her pedigree, she is by War Chant out of a Jade Hunter mare and I am hoping this race sticks to the turf.



#8 Gran Appeal made a good move around the far turn to get into the mix and finished a good second despite drifting inward and brushing with the eventual winner in the stretch. The winner Changing Skies came back to finish second against ALw-2 foes while the third place finisher Proud Lisa beat Alw-1 company on Oct. 30 at Keeneland.



Wagering

WIN: #4 to win at 7/2 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 4,5,8,9
TRI: 4,8 / 3,4,8,9 / 1,3,4,8,9

Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.



Aqueduct

R2: #5 Goodness Greycious 10/1
R3: #7 Thoroughly Holy 12/1
R4: #2 Lemon Mambo 12/1
R5: #1 Sergeant Karakorum / #1a Smarty Karakorum 8/1
R5: #3 Coach Fruscio 8/1
R6: #7 First and Foremost 12/1
R6: #12 Best Decision 12/1
R8: #5 Tranquil Manner 10/1
R9: #6 Tom Kitten 8/1

Good luck today!

Re: 11/11 Spot Plays
Joeaveragefan #187340 11/11/09 06:23 PM
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 1,218
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Courtesy of Horse Watch

AQU 7th # 6 Paraiba (12-1) Raced well coming off the pace to win against New York Statebred allowance company, moves to open company today but should put in another big effort.


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