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Re: 6/11 Bet The House
Flyball
38 minutes ago
And it starts. World Cup.
Double for first 2 days:
Mexico 1.45 Switzerland 1.25 Odd together: 1.81 -> -123, I will count it as -130 as it is more available. Stake: 4% -> 5.2%
MEXICO: The core of South Africa's national team plays domestically in the South African Premier Soccer League (PSL) [Mamelodi Sundowns]. This league is heavily dominated by one single club and globally ranks around 45th. In stark contrast, Mexico's squad consists of players from the highly competitive Liga MX (ranked 22nd globally) and top-tier European clubs (e.g., Fulham, Genoa, Fenerbahçe). The speed of thought, physical intensity, and tactical awareness that Mexican players face week in and week out are on a completely different level compared to the South African domestic league.
The opening match takes place at the iconic Estadio Azteca in Mexico City, situated at over 2,200 meters above sea level. Mexican players are thoroughly adapted to this thin air. South African players, accustomed to sea-level or low-altitude conditions, will face extreme oxygen depletion. Statistically, visiting teams at the Azteca see a massive physical drop-off after the 60th minute, allowing Mexico to dominate the final third of the match.
Mexico turns their home stadium into an absolute fortress in competitive matches. Over their last 15 official home games against mid-tier opposition, they have secured 11 wins and kept 9 clean sheets, proving they rarely let points slip under the pressure of 90,000 fanatical home supporters.
SWITZERLAND: The entire Qatari squad plays in the Qatar Stars League, which ranks around 65th globally—a level comparable to the English 3rd division (League One) in terms of intensity. Switzerland, on the other hand, boasts a world-class spine of players competing in the absolute elite of European football. Having players from Manchester City (Akanji), Borussia Dortmund (Kobel), and Bayer Leverkusen (Xhaka) competing against a squad from a slow-paced, low-intensity Asian domestic league creates a massive mismatch in tactical execution and physical duels.
Switzerland is a highly disciplined machine that regularly qualifies for the knockout stages of European Championships and World Cups. They possess the veteran maturity required to systematically break down lower-ranked teams without taking unnecessary defensive risks.
When forced to play outside of their comfortable regional confederation, Qatar historically struggles. In their previous World Cup appearance, their low-intensity domestic style was completely exposed by European and South American tactical setups, resulting in 3 losses and a 1:7 goal deficit. Switzerland’s high-pressing midfield will likely suffocate Qatar's buildup play right from the start.
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Re: MLB 6/2026
L10
2 hours ago
My Bets Open Settled
Atlanta Braves.............................5* -118 MONEYLINE
Atlanta Braves (M Perez) @ Chicago White Sox (A Kay) 6:41pm CT $118.00 TOTAL WAGER $218.00 TOTAL PAYOUT Cash out $118.00 Reuse selection Share bet BET ID: us-la:01ktvpjf0ce4c9f40g3f8nfn6d PLACED: 6/11/2026 1
Your bet has been placed! Jun 11, 2026, 11:01:31 AM
Receipt #: 12737719129
Bet placement date Total wager: $227.27 Odds: -114 Potential payout: $427.27 Spread - First 5 Innings: LA Dodgers -0.5 LA Dodgers @ PIT Pirates Baseball MLB Jun 11, 2026, 05:40 PM
Spread - First 5 Innings
LA Dodgers -0.5........................T-Rex Cracken.......................10*
-114
BASEBALL
Over 10 -129...........................................3* Total Runs
Open Wager $76.92 Potential Payout $136.92 TEX Rangers @ KC Royals Jun 11, 2026 01:10 PM Bet placedJun 11, 2026 11:03 AM Ticket id12737726122 bet-history-coupon-footer-logo
Collapse IconTransaction History
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Re: Gerk’s 2026 MLB Thread
Gerk
2 hours ago
6-11-26
5-1 yesterday (+3.66 Units) yesterday
Minnesota/Detroit Over 9 (-133)
Arizona/Miami Over 8.5 (-116)
Texas/Kansas City Over 10 (-124)
Chicago/Colorado Over 11 (-113)
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Re: Gerk’s 2026 Soccer Thread
Gerk
4 hours ago
6-11-26
Will start a separate thread for the World Cup
Finland
PPJ/Atlantis City Over 3.5 (-126)
JyTy Turku/PiPS Over 3.5 (-133)
Lautp II /KJP Kouvola Over 4 (-130)
TP-T/Ylojarvi United Over 4 (-115)
KuPS Akatemia/Zulimanit Over 4.5 (-128)
HPS 2/Toolon Taisto Over 4 (-119)
VPV/NIK Over 4 (-120)
Iceland
Ymir Kopavogur/KA Asvellir Over 3.5 (-151)
Vanegir/Alafoss Over 4.5 (-118)
Sweden
Gottne IF/Friska Viljor FC Over 3.5 (-111)
Motala AIF/IFK Kumla Over 3 (-128)
BK Astrio/Lindome GIF Over 3.5 (-105)
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Re: 6/11 Statistical Advantages
wayne1218
7 hours ago
NHL Trends
Vegas VS Carolina The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas' last 6 games. Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games. Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Carolina. Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games. Carolina is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games against Vegas. Carolina is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home.
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Re: The Unfair Advantage NFL/NBA
unfairadvantage
13 hours ago
Pending: San Antonio Spurs +2.5 games in Series (NBA Finals) (-115) for 3 units San Antonio Spurs to win Series (NBA Finals) +115 for 2 units
YTD: 11-5, +18.92 units
Can you believe the Knicks won by 1? They actually did, absolutely insane and bonkers and wild. How do humans bounce back from that also? They were -2 when I bet them and -2.5 by tip and I went on rants about how one should skip the ML weight.. and here we are. Sometimes it’s just dumb luck. NY was down 29 and came back at home to go up 3-1. Final tip was crazy. Throws a wrench in my personal stat in those situations, good thing I got lucky and happened to go ML. -130 compared to -2 is ok value … lol.. ironic.
So far, my series spread play or series play on the Spurs have not added value. I had better prices with them down 2-0 and again now down 3-1 to get Spurs to win the series.. reiterating that series bets are probably not for me. I had said earlier if Spurs come back and win it all, then I can consider doing series bets once after game 1. (Bc I’ll have had great prices on SAS this series.. and I saw that WCF after game 5 vs OKC ironically - even at -3.5 for game 6!) After game 1 of the series - if Spurs come back, yes to rare series bets. Separately, if Spurs win game 5 but do not cover, then yes to considering series games spreads plays. It’ll have saved me a win from a 1-1 ATS. If Spurs win and cover -5.5, then I’ll just have taken a 2-0 ATS and made it a more difficult 1-0 (my Spurs +2.5 games in series).
I think this finishes my 2026 case studies and helps me determine my gameplan moving forward.. 1. no moneyline plays (or any hopefully) heavier than -130, just bet it ATS, 2. no parlays - if you like the plays just bet both ATS, 3. don’t buy hooks (“key numbers” haven’t played a part for my plays personally in NBA. try to reduce vig - 95% of plays -119 or less vig), 4. never, ever, ever bet futures or to win the championship props.. if you like em to win it all, ride them ATS… and lastly, 5. Let this series play out to tell the tale on series bets.
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Re: 6/10 Bet The House
Lostteeth
Yesterday at 11:08 PM
NBA N. Y. Knicks -2.5 I’m sticking with the in this game , they played Pretty good in the last game. They are 6-4 in last 10 meetings. I think they will put it back together tonight.
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Re: 6/10 Statistical Advantages
wayne1218
Yesterday at 10:44 AM
MLB Trends
New York VS Cleveland NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. NY Yankees is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games against Cleveland. NY Yankees is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road. NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games. Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games against NY Yankees. Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Boston VS Tampa Bay The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games. Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Tampa Bay. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games. Tampa Bay is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against Boston. Tampa Bay is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Washington VS San Francisco The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games. Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against San Francisco. Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road. San Francisco is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games. San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home. San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games played on a Wednesday.
Cincinnati VS San Diego The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games. Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against San Diego. Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games. San Diego is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games against Cincinnati. San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home.
Seattle VS Baltimore The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games. Seattle is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games. Seattle is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games against Baltimore. Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games. Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games against Seattle. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home.
Minnesota VS Detroit The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games. Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Detroit. Minnesota is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games. Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games. Detroit is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
Arizona VS Miami The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games. Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games. Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Miami. Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games. Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games against Arizona. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home.
Los Angeles VS Pittsburgh LA Dodgers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games. LA Dodgers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers' last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh. LA Dodgers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the National League. The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games. Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games against LA Dodgers. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home.
Philadelphia VS Toronto The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 17 games. Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games. Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games. Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
St. Louis VS New York St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games. St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against NY Mets. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis' last 8 games on the road. St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games against St. Louis. NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home. NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets' last 12 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division division.
Atlanta VS Chicago The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games. Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games. Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Chicago White Sox. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago White Sox's last 7 games. Chicago White Sox is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games. Chicago White Sox is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home. Chicago White Sox is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
Texas VS Kansas City Texas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games. Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Kansas City. Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road. Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games. Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Texas. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home.
Chicago VS Colorado The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago Cubs' last 9 games. Chicago Cubs is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games. Chicago Cubs is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games against Colorado. Chicago Cubs is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games. Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. Colorado is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home. Colorado is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago Cubs.
Milwaukee VS Athletics The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games. Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing on the road against Athletics. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Athletics' last 12 games. Athletics is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Athletics' last 20 games against Milwaukee. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Athletics' last 6 games at home.
Houston VS Los Angeles The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games. Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels. Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American League. The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels' last 8 games. LA Angels is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels' last 13 games against Houston. The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels' last 5 games at home.
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